Through our lifetime we have not seen
anything that would compare to what is transpiring with Covid-19 this Worldwide
Pandemic has seen about 57% of the world on lockdown to combat the spreading of
this virus. We see numerous European
countries easing restrictions to try and get economies back to work, exercise
and living. We have received many calls
from people both buying and selling properties seeking our thoughts on the
property market following the restrictions on lockdown being lifted.
While in the short term as per the
“Roadmap to Re-opening Society and Business”, the easing of restrictions will
be done on a phased basis with certain industries and offices being allowed back
to work but still adhering to social distancing, washing of hands and
associated precautions to limit a further spread of the virus, I would imagine any mass gatherings or larger
social events are likely to see the restrictions extended for a further
period. There are certain sectors of the
economy that will bounce back quicker than others. When pubs and restaurants
open up again I think the majority of Irish people will be delighted to get out
after being house bound for in excess of 2 months but some restrictions or
capacity and distancing will remain in place.
The hospitality sector will see a decline from foreign tourists but are
likely to gain significantly from staycation with many Irish people choosing
not to take foreign holidays to the usual sun destinations but rather to
holiday at home.
If you were to look at the market only a
couple of months ago all the ingredients were very positive, banks were lending
money, the Irish economy was in a good position and out performing many other
European countries, the property market was in a good place with a good steady
market and demand for properties, unemployment was at an all time low below 5%
and a good feel good factor in general.
It is possible we may see some negative
sentiment and uncertainty in the market in the short term while we try to deal
with these Covid-19 restrictions. Certainly I would be optimistic of a bounce
back if you were to look at the positive attributes outlined above. Hopefully many of the employees who have been
made part-time or redundant will be back into the work place once their
offices, industries or sectors are back in full operation. Unfortunately there is likely to be some
casualties but as we have seen from the recessionary times between 2008 and 2014
we are a great nation at dusting ourselves off and getting on with what needs
to be done. So what we need to do now is
what Irish people do best, get back up and going again once restriction are
lifted.
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